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Article
Relating Lake Circulation Patterns to Sediment, Nutrient, and Water Hyacinth Distribution in a Shallow Tropical Highland Lake
Hydrology 2023, 10(9), 181; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10090181 (registering DOI) - 01 Sep 2023
Abstract
Excess sediment and nutrient losses from intensifying agriculture degrade water quality and boost plant growth. The relationship between circulation patterns, spatial water quality degradation, and water hyacinth infestation is not adequately studied. The objective of this study is, therefore, to investigate the effect [...] Read more.
Excess sediment and nutrient losses from intensifying agriculture degrade water quality and boost plant growth. The relationship between circulation patterns, spatial water quality degradation, and water hyacinth infestation is not adequately studied. The objective of this study is, therefore, to investigate the effect of lake circulation patterns on sediment and nutrient distribution and its implication on the spread of water hyacinth in a tropical lake. This study was carried out in Lake Tana, the largest freshwater lake in Ethiopia, where sediment and nutrient concentrations are increasing, and water hyacinths have become a challenge since 2011. The lake circulation pattern was simulated by the Delft3D model based on a bathymetry survey, discharge, and meteorological forcings. To predict the transport path of sediments and dissolved nutrients, an inert tracer was released in the four main river inlets of the lake. Observed lake water level measurements were used to validate the model. Our results show that the lake circulation pattern could explain the transport path of sediment and nutrients and the location of the water hyacinths found in the northeast of the lake. Sediments and nutrients from the largest river, Gilgel Abay, in the southeast of Lake Tana, flow through the two outlets nearby with little sediment deposition due to the relatively short retention time. The phosphorus-rich sediments of the 24 h at 105 °C remaining three main rivers joining the lake at the north and east are transported to the northeast. Thus, the management and control of water hyacinths should focus on the northern and eastern catchment areas of Lake Tana. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hydrodynamics and Water Quality of Rivers and Lakes)
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Article
A Hydrogeological Conceptual Model Refines the Behavior of a Mediterranean Coastal Aquifer System: A Key to Sustainable Groundwater Management (Grombalia, NE Tunisia)
Hydrology 2023, 10(9), 180; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10090180 (registering DOI) - 30 Aug 2023
Viewed by 159
Abstract
The Mediterranean coastal aquifer system of the Grombalia basin (NE Tunisia) offers immense potential as a source of fresh water for agriculture, industry, and drinking water supply. Nonetheless, due to its intricate hydrogeological characteristics and the prevailing issue of groundwater salinity, comprehending its [...] Read more.
The Mediterranean coastal aquifer system of the Grombalia basin (NE Tunisia) offers immense potential as a source of fresh water for agriculture, industry, and drinking water supply. Nonetheless, due to its intricate hydrogeological characteristics and the prevailing issue of groundwater salinity, comprehending its groundwater system behavior becomes crucial for the effective and sustainable management of this aquifer system. Based on the hydrogeological characterization of the Grombalia basin, a novel 3D hydrogeological conceptual model was developed to enhance the understanding of its complex aquifer system. The integration of insights from geological, hydrogeological, hydrodynamic, and hydrochemical components facilitated the construction of the hydrogeological conceptual model. Although the model’s validity faced initial uncertainties due to spatial interpolation of lithological sequences, this study’s thorough and encompassing hydrogeological investigation overcame these limitations. As a result, a more informed comprehension of the aquifer system complexities was achieved. This study reveals that the basin is underlain by an extensive, cohesive Mio–Plio–Quaternary aquifer system. The model demonstrates vertical and lateral hydrogeological continuity between the Quaternary and underlying Mio–Pliocene deposits, enabling groundwater flow and exchange between these layers. Over-abstraction of the Mio–Plio–Quaternary aquifer system has led to a significant drop in piezometric levels and raised the risk of seawater intrusion. These findings emphasize the critical necessity of taking into account the interconnections among hydrogeological units to ensure sustainable groundwater management. The developed conceptual model offers a key tool for understanding the hydrodynamic functioning of the Grombalia aquifer system with a view toward guiding future groundwater management strategies. The application of this approach in the Grombalia basin suggests its potential applicability to other regional aquifers facing comparable challenges. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources and Risk Management)
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Article
Comparing Methods for the Regionalization of Intensity−Duration−Frequency (IDF) Curve Parameters in Sparsely-Gauged and Ungauged Areas of Central Chile
Hydrology 2023, 10(9), 179; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10090179 - 28 Aug 2023
Viewed by 461
Abstract
Estimating intensity−duration−frequency (IDF) curves requires local historical information of precipitation intensity. When such information is unavailable, as in areas without rain gauges, it is necessary to consider other methods to estimate curve parameters. In this study, three methods were explored to estimate IDF [...] Read more.
Estimating intensity−duration−frequency (IDF) curves requires local historical information of precipitation intensity. When such information is unavailable, as in areas without rain gauges, it is necessary to consider other methods to estimate curve parameters. In this study, three methods were explored to estimate IDF curves in ungauged areas: Kriging (KG), Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), and Storm Index (SI). To test the viability of these methods, historical data collected from 31 rain gauges distributed in central Chile, 35° S to 38° S, are used. As a result of the reduced number of rain gauges to evaluate the performance of each method, we used LOOCV (Leaving One Out Cross Validation). The results indicate that KG was limited due to the sparse distribution of rain gauges in central Chile. SI (a linear scaling method) showed the smallest prediction error in all of the ungauged locations, and outperformed both KG and IDW. However, the SI method does not provide estimates of uncertainty, as is possible with KG. The simplicity of SI renders it a viable method for extrapolating IDF curves to locations without data in the central zone of Chile. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources and Risk Management)
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Review
Unlocking the Potential of Microbially Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation (MICP) for Hydrological Applications: A Review of Opportunities, Challenges, and Environmental Considerations
Hydrology 2023, 10(9), 178; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10090178 - 26 Aug 2023
Viewed by 287
Abstract
Microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation (MICP) is an innovative biocementation technique that facilitates the formation of calcium carbonate within a pore network. Initially gaining prominence in the field of geotechnical engineering, MICP has attracted significant attention since its inception (the last three decades) [...] Read more.
Microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation (MICP) is an innovative biocementation technique that facilitates the formation of calcium carbonate within a pore network. Initially gaining prominence in the field of geotechnical engineering, MICP has attracted significant attention since its inception (the last three decades) and expanded its reach across various engineering disciplines. Examples include rock mechanics, geology and the oil and gas industry fields through the generation of rock-like specimens, and plugging of fractures, in civil and architectural engineering and material science for concrete repair, protection, and for self-healing of building materials, and in environmental engineering for the study of biomimetic materials. In response to this burgeoning interest, the current paper aims to present a comprehensive review of the main biochemical mechanisms underlying MICP (bacterial ureolytic activity, reactions duration and settling times, and chemical solution properties), their direct relevance to altering hydraulic and mechanical properties, both at the microscale and macroscale responses, and the precipitation mechanisms, particularly in relation to water resources and hydrology applications. Four main categories of relevant applications are identified, namely, the groundwater and soil remediation, the applications related to the generation of a low hydraulic conductivity barrier, those related to gaining cohesion, and the applications related to fluid flow studies in artificially generated porous media. Moreover, this comprehensive review not only aims to identify the existing applications of MICP within hydrological fields but also strives to propose novel and promising applications that can further expand its utility in this domain. Along with the investigation of the potential of MICP to revolutionize water resources and hydrology, it is imperative to delve deeper into its environmental implications to ensure sustainable and ecologically responsible implementation. Full article
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Article
Modeling Hydrodynamic Behavior of the Ottawa River: Harnessing the Power of Numerical Simulation and Machine Learning for Enhanced Predictability
Hydrology 2023, 10(9), 177; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10090177 - 24 Aug 2023
Viewed by 346
Abstract
The Ottawa River Watershed is a vast area that stretches across Ontario and Quebec and holds great importance for Canada’s people, economy, and collective history, both in the present and the future. The river has faced numerous floods in recent years due to [...] Read more.
The Ottawa River Watershed is a vast area that stretches across Ontario and Quebec and holds great importance for Canada’s people, economy, and collective history, both in the present and the future. The river has faced numerous floods in recent years due to climate change. The most significant flood occurred in 2019, surpassing a 100-year flood event, and serves as a stark reminder of how climate change impacts our environment. Considering the limitations of machine learning (ML) models, which heavily rely on historical data used during training, they may struggle to accurately predict such “non-experienced” or “unseen” floods that were not encountered during the training process. To tackle this challenge, our study has utilized a combination of numerical modeling and ML to create an integrated methodology. Indeed, a comprehensive dataset of river flow discharge was generated using a numerical model, encompassing a wide range of potential future floods. This significantly improved the ML training process to generalize the accuracy of results. Utilizing this dataset, a novel ML model called the Expanded Framework of Group Method of Data Handling (EFGMDH) has been developed. Its purpose is to provide decision-makers with explicit equations for estimating three crucial hydrodynamic characteristics of the Ottawa River: floodplain width, flow velocity, and river flow depth. These predictions rely on various inputs, including the location of the desired cross-section, river slope, Manning roughness coefficient at different river sections (right, left, and middle), and river flow discharge. To establish practical models for each of the aforementioned hydrodynamic characteristics of the Ottawa River, different input combinations were tested to identify the most optimal ones. The EFGMDH model demonstrated high accuracy throughout the training and testing stages, achieving an R2 value exceeding 0.99. The proposed model’s exceptional performance demonstrates its reliability and practical applications for the study area. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Advances in Hydrological Modeling)
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Article
Assimilating Soil Moisture Information to Improve the Performance of SWAT Hydrological Model
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 176; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080176 - 21 Aug 2023
Viewed by 565
Abstract
The present work aims to highlight the possibility of improving model performance by assimilating soil moisture information in the calibration and validation process. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) within QGIS, i.e., QSWAT, was used to simulate the hydrological processes within the [...] Read more.
The present work aims to highlight the possibility of improving model performance by assimilating soil moisture information in the calibration and validation process. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) within QGIS, i.e., QSWAT, was used to simulate the hydrological processes within the test basin, i.e., Vosvozis River Basin (VRB) in NE Greece. The model calibration and validation were conducted via SWAT-CUP for a four-year period from 2019 to 2022, in three different ways, i.e., using the traditional calibration process with river flow measurements, using satellite-based soil moisture only in the calibration, and finally incorporating satellite-based soil moisture datasets and calibrating using simultaneously flow and soil moisture information. All modeling approaches used the same set of input data related to topography, land cover, and soil information. This study utilized the recently released global scale daily downscaled soil moisture at 1 km from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission to generate soil moisture datasets. Two performance indicators were evaluated: Nash Sutcliffe (NS) and coefficient of determination (R2). Results showed that QSWAT successfully simulated river flow in VRB with NS = 0.61 and R2 = 0.69 for the calibration process using river flow measurements at the outlet of VRB. However, comparing satellite-based soil moisture, NS and R2 were considerably lower with an average derived from the 19 subbasins (NS = 0.55, R2 = 0.66), indicating lower performance related to the simulation of soil moisture regime. Subsequently, introducing satellite-derived soil moisture as an additional parameter in the calibration process along with flow improved the acquired average soil moisture results of the 19 subbasins (NS = 0.85, R2 = 0.91), while preserving the satisfactory performance related to flow simulation (NS = 0.57, R2 = 0.66). Our work thus demonstrates how assimilating available satellite-derived soil moisture information into the SWAT model may offer considerable improvement in the description of soil moisture conditions, keeping the satisfactory performance in flow simulation. Full article
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Article
Simple and Complex Substrates (Sugar, Acetate and Milk Whey) for In Situ Bioremediation of Groundwater with Nitrate and Actinide Contamination
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 175; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080175 - 18 Aug 2023
Viewed by 268
Abstract
The complex contamination of groundwater near radioactive waste repositories by nitrates and actinides is a common problem for many nuclear fuel cycle facilities. One of the effective methods to remove nitrates and reduce actinide migration activity is bioremediation through the activation of native [...] Read more.
The complex contamination of groundwater near radioactive waste repositories by nitrates and actinides is a common problem for many nuclear fuel cycle facilities. One of the effective methods to remove nitrates and reduce actinide migration activity is bioremediation through the activation of native microbial communities by soluble electron donors and carbon sources. This work evaluated the effectiveness of using simple and complex electron donors to remove nitrate in the microbial community in an aquifer near the B2 storage of the Siberian Chemical Combine (Seversk, Siberia). The addition of sugar and milk whey led to the maximum efficiency of nitrate-ion removal and a decrease in the redox potential of the system, creating optimal conditions for the immobilization of actinide. Special attention was paid to the behavior of uranium, plutonium, neptunium, and americium under conditions simulating groundwater when sugar, acetate, and milk whey were added and when microbial metabolic products were formed. Neither microbial metabolites nor organic solutions were found to have a significant effect on the leaching of neptunium. At the same time, for plutonium, a decrease in yield was observed when rocks were treated with organic solutions were compared to groundwater treatment without them. Plutonium leaching is significantly affected by rock composition. In rocks with a low clay fraction content, its yield can reach 40%. At the same time, microbial metabolites can increase americium (Am) desorption from rocks with a low clay fraction content. Additionally, particle size analysis was performed using a step-by-step filtration approach, aiming to evaluate the risks that are associated with colloidal phase formation. It was shown that microbiological stimulation resulted in particle enlargement, substantially diminishing the presence of actinides in the form of dissolved or sub-50 nm nanoparticles. This outcome significantly reduced the potential for colloidal and pseudocolloidal transfer, thereby lowering associated risks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Novel Approaches in Contaminant Hydrology and Groundwater Remediation)
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Article
Applying Geophysical and Hydrogeochemical Methods to Evaluate Groundwater Potential and Quality in Middle Egypt
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 173; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080173 - 18 Aug 2023
Viewed by 442
Abstract
The El-Minia district is a location of interest for future urban development. Using hydrochemistry and electrical resistivity studies, this work aimed to evaluate the groundwater potentiality and it’s suitable for various uses. The groundwater potential in the study area was evaluated based on [...] Read more.
The El-Minia district is a location of interest for future urban development. Using hydrochemistry and electrical resistivity studies, this work aimed to evaluate the groundwater potentiality and it’s suitable for various uses. The groundwater potential in the study area was evaluated based on 24 VESs (vertical electrical soundings), and its quality was determined based on the analyses of 57 groundwater samples. EC (salinity index), Na% (salt hazard), SAR (ratio of sodium adsorption), chloride risks, SSP (soluble sodium percentage), MH (magnesium hazard), and other indicators were used to determine whether the collected water samples were suitable for irrigation. Four layers in the study area are mentioned in the geoelectrical cross-sections that have been constructed. The first is made up of silt and clay from the Nile River, while the second is made up of sandy clay, which has a resistivity range of 15 to 32 Ohm.m and a range thickness of 2 to 68 m. Dry limestone makes up the third layer; its resistivity ranges from 1222 to 3000 Ohm.m and its thickness varies between 75 and 95 m. The Eocene aquifer in the research area is represented by the final layer, which has a thickness of more than 250 m and resistivity values that range from 602 to 860 Ohm.m. Most groundwater samples that were collected are safe for drinking; however, none of them are fit for home usage because of their extreme hardness. According to the SAR and US diagram, RSC, KR, and PI, most groundwater samples from the Pleistocene and Eocene aquifers are fit for irrigation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Groundwater Pollution: Sources, Mechanisms, and Prevention)
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Article
A First Step towards Developing a Decision Support System Based on the Integration of Environmental Monitoring Activities for Regional Water Resource Protection
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 174; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080174 - 18 Aug 2023
Viewed by 390
Abstract
The topic of diffuse pollution is of particular interest from technical, scientific, and administrative management points of view. Diffuse pollution is defined as the contamination or chemical, physical, or biological alterations of environmental matrices caused by diffuse sources and not attributable to a [...] Read more.
The topic of diffuse pollution is of particular interest from technical, scientific, and administrative management points of view. Diffuse pollution is defined as the contamination or chemical, physical, or biological alterations of environmental matrices caused by diffuse sources and not attributable to a single origin. In this study, various sources of diffuse pollution such as nitrates, pesticides, metals, and plastics were analysed. This was aimed at the implementation of a decision support system able to represent the state of environmental matrices degradation, with particular attention to water resources, and to make decisions evaluating similar environmental contexts. The potential of the developed system makes it possible to identify areas with the same environmental characteristics, referring to the various activities that create diffuse pollution and areas with the same pressure values on the environmental matrices. The system provides the political decision-maker with greater awareness of the environmental state, thus enabling him to apply more accurate land management policies. The created system, based on open-source software, which can be implemented with additional available data sources, is characterised by a data processing workflow that provides output information at the municipal level, so that it can be managed both by mayors and regional managers who are able to share the same information with all. Full article
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Article
Urban Flood Modelling under Extreme Rainfall Conditions for Building-Level Flood Exposure Analysis
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 172; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080172 - 17 Aug 2023
Viewed by 709
Abstract
The expansion of urban areas and the increasing frequency and magnitude of intense rainfall events are anticipated to contribute to the widespread escalation of urban flood risk across the globe. To effectively mitigate future flood risks, it is crucial to combine a comprehensive [...] Read more.
The expansion of urban areas and the increasing frequency and magnitude of intense rainfall events are anticipated to contribute to the widespread escalation of urban flood risk across the globe. To effectively mitigate future flood risks, it is crucial to combine a comprehensive examination of intense rainfall events in urban areas with the utilization of detailed hydrodynamic models. This study combines extreme value analysis techniques applied to rainfall data ranging from sub-hourly to daily durations with a high-resolution flood modelling analysis at the building level in the centre of Thessaloniki, Greece. A scaling procedure is employed to rainfall return levels assessed by applying the generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution to annual maximum fine-temporal-scale data, and these scaling laws are then applied to more reliable daily rainfall return levels estimated by means of the generalised Pareto distribution (GPD), in order to develop storm profiles with durations of 1 h and 2 h. The advanced flood model, CityCAT, is then used for the simulation of pluvial flooding, providing reliable assessments of building-level exposure to flooding hazards. The results of the analysis conducted provide insights into flood depths and water flowpaths in the city centre of Thessaloniki, identifying major flowpaths along certain main streets resulting in localised flooding, and identifying around 165 and 186 buildings highly exposed to inundation risk in the study area for 50-year storm events with durations of 1 h and 2 h, respectively. For the first time in this study area, a detailed analysis of extreme rainfall events is combined with a high-resolution Digital Terrain Model (DTM), used as an input into the advanced and fully featured CityCAT hydrodynamic model, to assess critical flowpaths and buildings at high flood risk. The results of this study can aid in the planning and design of resilient solutions to combat urban flash floods, as well as contribute to targeted flood damage mitigation and flood risk reduction. Full article
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Article
Identification of the Groundwater Quality and Potential Noncarcinogenic Health Risk Assessment of Nitrate in the Groundwater of El Milia Plain, Kebir Rhumel Basin, Algeria
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 171; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080171 - 14 Aug 2023
Viewed by 494
Abstract
In this study, we analyzed the quality and the potential noncarcinogenic health risk of nitrate in groundwater in the El Milia plain, Kebir Rhumel Basin, Algeria. Moran’s I and the ordinary kriging (OK) interpolation technique were used to examine the spatial distribution pattern [...] Read more.
In this study, we analyzed the quality and the potential noncarcinogenic health risk of nitrate in groundwater in the El Milia plain, Kebir Rhumel Basin, Algeria. Moran’s I and the ordinary kriging (OK) interpolation technique were used to examine the spatial distribution pattern of the hydrochemical parameters in the groundwater. It was found that the hydrochemical parameters Ca, Cl, and HCO3 showed strong spatial autocorrelation in the El Milia plain, indicating a spatial dependence and clustering of these parameters in the groundwater. The groundwater quality was evaluated using the entropy water quality index (EWQI). The results showed that approximately 86% of the total groundwater samples in the study area fall within the moderate groundwater quality category. The spatial map of the EWQI values indicated an increasing trend from the south-west to the northeast, following the direction of groundwater flow. The highest EWQI values were observed near El Milia city in the center of the plain. This spatial pattern suggests variations in groundwater quality across the study area, with potentially higher risks near the city center. The potential noncarcinogenic health risks associated with nitrate contamination in groundwater for adults and children through the drinking water pathway were assessed using the hazard quotient (HQ). The results revealed that approximately 5.7% of the total groundwater samples exceeded the HQ limit for adults, indicating potential health risks. Moreover, a higher percentage, 14.28%, of the total groundwater samples exceeded the HQ limit for children, highlighting their increased vulnerability to noncarcinogenic health hazards associated with nitrate contamination in the study area. Taking timely action and ensuring strict compliance with regulations in groundwater management are crucial for protecting public health, preserving the environment, addressing water scarcity, and achieving sustainable development goals. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Groundwater Pollution: Sources, Mechanisms, and Prevention)
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Article
Decoupling of Ecological and Hydrological Drought Conditions in the Limpopo River Basin Inferred from Groundwater Storage and NDVI Anomalies
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 170; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080170 - 12 Aug 2023
Viewed by 790
Abstract
Droughts are projected to increase in intensity and frequency with the rise of global mean temperatures. However, not all drought indices equally capture the variety of influences that each hydrologic component has on the duration and magnitude of a period of water deficit. [...] Read more.
Droughts are projected to increase in intensity and frequency with the rise of global mean temperatures. However, not all drought indices equally capture the variety of influences that each hydrologic component has on the duration and magnitude of a period of water deficit. While such indices often agree with one another due to precipitation being the major input, heterogeneous responses caused by groundwater recharge, soil moisture memory, and vegetation dynamics may lead to a decoupling of identifiable drought conditions. As a semi-arid basin, the Limpopo River Basin (LRB) is a severely water-stressed region associated with unique climate patterns that regularly affect hydrological extremes. In this study, we find that vegetation indices show no significant long-term trends (S-statistic 9; p-value 0.779), opposing that of the modeled groundwater anomalies (S-statistic -57; p-value 0.05) in the growing season for a period of 18 years (2004–2022). Although the Mann-Kendall time series statistics for NDVI and drought indices are non-significant when basin-averaged, spatial heterogeneity further reveals that such a decoupling trend between vegetation and groundwater anomalies is indeed significant (p-value < 0.05) in colluvial, low-land aquifers to the southeast, while they remain more coupled in the central-west LRB, where more bedrock aquifers dominate. The conclusions of this study highlight the importance of ecological conditions with respect to water availability and suggest that water management must be informed by local vegetation species, especially in the face of depleting groundwater resources. Full article
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Article
Using Ensembles of Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Reference Evapotranspiration (ET0) Using Limited Meteorological Data
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 169; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080169 - 11 Aug 2023
Viewed by 941
Abstract
To maximize crop production, reference evapotranspiration (ET0) measurement is crucial for managing water resources and planning crop water needs. The FAO-PM56 method is recommended globally for estimating ET0 and evaluating alternative methods due to its extensive theoretical foundation. Numerous meteorological [...] Read more.
To maximize crop production, reference evapotranspiration (ET0) measurement is crucial for managing water resources and planning crop water needs. The FAO-PM56 method is recommended globally for estimating ET0 and evaluating alternative methods due to its extensive theoretical foundation. Numerous meteorological parameters, needed for ET0 estimation, are difficult to obtain in developing countries. Therefore, alternative ways to estimate ET0 using fewer climatic data are of critical importance. To estimate ET0 with alternative methods, difference climatic parameters of temperatures, relative humidity (maximum and minimum), sunshine hours, and wind speed for a period of 20 years from 1996 to 2015 were used in the study. The data were recorded by 11 meteorological observatories situated in various climatic regions of Pakistan. The significance of the climatic parameters used was evaluated using sensitivity analysis. The machine learning techniques of single decision tree (SDT), tree boost (TB) and decision tree forest (DTF) were used to perform sensitivity analysis. The outcomes indicated that DTF-based models estimated ET0 with higher accuracy and fewer climatic variables as compared to other ML techniques used in the study. The DTF technique, with Model 15 as input, outperformed other techniques for the most part of the performance metrics (i.e., NSE = 0.93, R2 = 0.96 and RMSE = 0.48 mm/month). The results indicated that the DTF with fewer climatic variables of mean relative humidity, wind speed and minimum temperature could estimate ET0 accurately and outperformed other ML techniques. Additionally, a non-linear ensemble (NLE) of ML techniques was further used to estimate ET0 using the best input combination (i.e., Model 15). It was seen that the applied non-linear ensemble (NLE) approach enhanced modelling accuracy as compared to a stand-alone application of ML techniques (R2 Multan = 0.97, R2 Skardu = 0.99, R2 ISB = 0.98, R2 Bahawalpur = 0.98 etc.). The study results affirmed the use of an ensemble model for ET0 estimation and suggest applying it in other parts of the world to validate model performance. Full article
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Article
Improvements and Evaluation of the Agro-Hydrologic VegET Model for Large-Area Water Budget Analysis and Drought Monitoring
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 168; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080168 - 10 Aug 2023
Viewed by 662
Abstract
We enhanced the agro-hydrologic VegET model to include snow accumulation and melt processes and the separation of runoff into surface runoff and deep drainage. Driven by global weather datasets and parameterized by land surface phenology (LSP), the enhanced VegET model was implemented in [...] Read more.
We enhanced the agro-hydrologic VegET model to include snow accumulation and melt processes and the separation of runoff into surface runoff and deep drainage. Driven by global weather datasets and parameterized by land surface phenology (LSP), the enhanced VegET model was implemented in the cloud to simulate daily soil moisture (SM), actual evapotranspiration (ETa), and runoff (R) for the conterminous United States (CONUS) and the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). Evaluation of the VegET model with independent data showed satisfactory performance, capturing the temporal variability of SM (Pearson correlation r: 0.22–0.97), snowpack (r: 0.86–0.88), ETa (r: 0.41–0.97), and spatial variability of R (r: 0.81–0.90). Absolute magnitudes showed some biases, indicating the need of calibrating the model for water budget analysis. The seasonal Landscape Water Requirement Satisfaction Index (L-WRSI) for CONUS and GHA showed realistic depictions of drought hazard extent and severity, indicating the usefulness of the L-WRSI for the convergence of an evidence toolkit used by the Famine Early Warning System Network to monitor potential food insecurity conditions in different parts of the world. Using projected weather datasets and landcover-based LSP, the VegET model can be used not only for global monitoring of drought conditions, but also for evaluating scenarios on the effect of a changing climate and land cover on agriculture and water resources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Hydrology and Water Resources in Agriculture and Ecology)
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Article
Drought Severity and Trends in a Mediterranean Oak Forest
Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 167; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10080167 - 10 Aug 2023
Viewed by 455
Abstract
Drought is a significant natural hazard with widespread socioeconomic and environmental impacts. This study investigated the long-term drought characteristics in a Mediterranean oak forest ecosystem using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at various time scales and seasons. The analysis was based on [...] Read more.
Drought is a significant natural hazard with widespread socioeconomic and environmental impacts. This study investigated the long-term drought characteristics in a Mediterranean oak forest ecosystem using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at various time scales and seasons. The analysis was based on a long-term time series dataset obtained from a meteorological station located at the University Forest of Taxiarchis in Greece. The dataset encompassed a substantial time span of 47 years of continuous monitoring, from 1974 to 2020. To accomplish the goals of the current research, the SPEI was calculated for 3, 6, 12, and 24-month periods, and drought events were identified. The Mann-Kendall (M-K) test was used to analyze the trends in drought severity and evaluate the trends significance. The results showed that shorter time scales (SPEI3 and SPEI6) were more efficient for identifying short-term droughts, while longer time scales (SPEI12 and SPEI24) were better for identifying less frequent but longer-lasting drought episodes. The analysis consistently revealed positive trends across all seasons and time scales, indicating an overall transition towards wetter conditions. Nearly all the data series for SPEI12 and SPEI24 exhibited statistically significant upward trends (wetter conditions) at a 95% confidence level. However, more intense events were detected during the recent decade using the seasonal analysis. Additionally, as the time scale expanded, the magnitude of these trends increased. The findings contributed to a better understanding of drought dynamics in Mediterranean oak forests and provided valuable information for forest management and climate change adaptation planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Forest Hydrometeorology)
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